Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.389424 0.458139 0.533445 0.621835 0.722463 0.833172 0.963895
2025-01-12 0.263677 0.350651 0.455909 0.591481 0.760147 0.961672 1.219117
2025-01-19 0.193625 0.286410 0.408620 0.578618 0.805790 1.095378 1.488330
2025-01-26 0.154537 0.250717 0.386894 0.588876 0.874980 1.259027 1.805377
2025-02-02 0.125838 0.222119 0.367601 0.595936 0.936063 1.413107 2.119129
2025-02-09 0.103599 0.197913 0.349260 0.599313 0.988900 1.556800 2.426637
2025-02-16 0.088928 0.182595 0.341276 0.615634 1.060166 1.730027 2.786456
2025-02-23 0.075400 0.166211 0.328377 0.621229 1.113596 1.878872 3.118794
2025-03-02 0.060470 0.143836 0.301242 0.598671 1.118088 1.951190 3.338153
2025-03-09 0.053336 0.135268 0.297316 0.615115 1.187442 2.128839 3.730278
2025-03-16 0.046500 0.125787 0.290015 0.624054 1.243864 2.288378 4.102214
2025-03-23 0.042805 0.122478 0.294193 0.654471 1.339982 2.518830 4.601218
2025-03-30 0.036201 0.111051 0.280436 0.649446 1.373068 2.647779 4.945438
2025-04-06 0.030233 0.099716 0.265034 0.639176 1.395368 2.759691 5.268334
2025-04-13 0.025488 0.090298 0.252207 0.632307 1.422918 2.881831 5.614850
2025-04-20 0.022653 0.085458 0.249138 0.645646 1.490723 3.079986 6.103964
2025-04-27 0.019935 0.080205 0.244164 0.654028 1.548950 3.263700 6.576680
2025-05-04 0.017382 0.074716 0.237626 0.657927 1.597972 3.432729 7.031178
2025-05-11 0.015734 0.071744 0.237119 0.675681 1.677181 3.663121 7.608378
2025-05-18 0.013848 0.067354 0.232025 0.681766 1.731706 3.848806 8.111649
2025-05-25 0.011250 0.059385 0.215414 0.657343 1.717299 3.898488 8.362499
2025-06-01 0.010244 0.057313 0.215543 0.675156 1.798196 4.141518 8.990749
2025-06-08 0.009135 0.054422 0.212688 0.684837 1.861222 4.351699 9.565130